Luca Castelnuovo vs Ye Cong Mo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve success: Castelnuovo shows an edge with 46.24% of points won on second serves compared to Mo's 44.12%.
• Return game strength: Mo outshines Castelnuovo in return games, with 47.3% of second serve points won compared to Castelnuovo's 40.92%.
• Breakpoints salvaged: Castelnuovo narrowly leads with 52.79% of breakpoints saved, just surpassing Mo's 51.35%.
• Win rate over the past year: Castelnuovo holds a strong advantage, winning 62.86% of matches, while Mo stands at 51.11%.
• Surface proficiency: Castelnuovo excels on indoor hard courts with a 58% win rate, whereas Mo fares best on hard courts at 62%.
• Player level experience: Castelnuovo has a win rate of 65.63% in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, higher than Mo's 54.29%.
• Direct head-to-head record: Castelnuovo leads with one victory over Mo, with no wins for Mo in their meetings.
• Considering opponent quality: Mo has faced more highly ranked opponents, averaging rank 170.09 compared to Castelnuovo’s 421.33.
• Deciding set performance against all opponents: Castelnuovo's deciding set win rate is 44%, slightly better than Mo's 42%.
• Breakpoints converted in recent form: Mo has a better conversion rate at 33.33%, over Castelnuovo’s 20.83%.

Editorial Prediction (September 8, 2025, UTC):

As we look at the performance statistics, Castelnuovo appears to have a narrow advantage in second serve performance and match win rate over the past year. This could give them a crucial edge in maintaining service games.

Mo has shown a strong ability in return games, particularly against second serves, which might challenge Castelnuovo’s ability to dominate the points off their serve. Additionally, Mo's higher breakpoint conversion rate suggests potential for capitalizing on crucial game opportunities.

The head-to-head record favors Castelnuovo, who has already clinched a victory against Mo in their previous encounter. However, the diversity in opponent quality indicates that Mo might be more accustomed to competing at a higher level of play.

Given these facts, Castelnuovo seems more likely to secure the win, though Mo’s competitive experience against tougher opponents should not be underestimated.